On the trail of the black market
bombs
US President George W Bush has announced a series
of proposals to try to stop the spread of nuclear weapons.
His speech followed the admission by the father
of the Pakistani bomb, Dr AQ Khan, that he had given nuclear secrets
to other countries, believed to be Iran, North Korea and Libya.
BBC News Online world affairs correspondent
Paul Reynolds has been following the trail of the black market bombs.
The story begins in the early 1970s. An ambitious young Pakistani
metallurgist Abdul Qadeer Khan (known in the style of the sub-continent
by his initials AQ) was working in the Netherlands for a Dutch company
called Physics Dynamic Research Laboratory.
Origins at Urenco
FDO, as it was called, did research for a consortium
called Urenco, set up by the British, Dutch and German governments
to provide equipment to enrich uranium. Whether Dr Khan had gone there
in order to get information needed to build a nuclear bomb is not
known. What is known is that when, in 1974, India exploded its first
nuclear device, he was well placed to help his own country. Specifically,
he was able to get blueprints for a centrifuge made by Urenco. Centrifuges
are metal tubes which spin uranium hexafluoride gas in order to separate
out the uranium 235 which is needed to make a nuclear reaction. In
this way uranium can be enriched to the level required for a nuclear
power station but also to the higher levels needed for a nuclear bomb.
Dr Khan had the higher ambition.
According to Frits Veerman, a technical photographer
who worked in the same office at FDO, Dr Khan kept blueprints in his
house, where Mr Veerman sometimes went for tea and fried chicken.
Later he wrote to Mr Veerman after he left the Netherlands in 1976
with the Dutch intelligence hard on his heels. Dr Khan asked Mr Veerman
to get more details, opening one letter with the words: "Dear
Frits, very confidentially I request you to help us."
Khan back in Pakistan
Armed with his blueprints, Dr Khan then set
up the AQ Khan Research Laboratories near the Pakistani capital Islamabad
and began to build the bomb, often getting supplies and equipment
from European companies. In those days, controls were lax and in any
event much of the equipment was dual use so its ultimate purpose could
be hidden. Dr Khan was remarkably successful. At some stage, however,
he ceased to be satisfied with confining his work to Pakistan. Whether
this was because he realised that he could sell his expertise elsewhere,
or whether he saw himself as a kind of nuclear mastermind countering
American hegemony, is not really known. Nor is it known to what extent,
if any, the Pakistani government knew about his extra curricula activities.
He is believed to have helped North Korea, which supplied Pakistan
with missiles. Such an exchange could hardly have taken place without
government to government contacts.
Trail to Libya
What is known, in broad terms, is the trail
which led from Dr Khan to Libya and it can probably be reckoned that
a similar path led to Iran, though the Libyan connection was more
sophisticated.
President Bush himself laid out some of the
evidence.
" What is known, in broad terms, is the trail which led from
Dr Khan to Libya and it can probably be reckoned that a similar path
led to Iran "
A key figure was BSA Tahir, a Sri Lankan businessman
living in Dubai whom Mr Bush called Dr Khan's "deputy and chief
financial officer and money launderer". Mr Tahir, said Mr Bush,
had set up a front company SMB Computers, to help the operation. Mr
Tahir is said to have placed an order for centrifuge parts with a
Malaysian company named by the CIA as Scomi Precision Engineering.
The cover story was that the parts were for the oil and gas industry.
Scomi said the actual order was placed by a British company in Dubai
called Gulf Technical Industries (GTI) in which Mr Tahir had a partner
named Paul Griffin.
Mr Griffin has denied, in an interview with
the Guardian newspaper, that he knew anything about the centrifuge
order.In any event, the order went through
and the parts were delivered to Dubai.
Shipment stopped
It was after they were loaded on a German ship
the BBC China, bound for Libya in the late summer of 2003, that western
governments struck. The ship was intercepted by the Germans and Italians
and taken into an Italian port. There the "used machinery parts"
listed as the cargo were found to be the centrifuges manufactured
in Malaysia, probably to the designs of Dr Khan.
Libya had already opened talks with the US
and UK about abandoning its work on weapons of mass destruction, so
it is curious that Libya should also have continued with this shipment.
There have been suggestions that Libya tipped the British and Americans
off as a sign of good faith. If not, they were acting in bad faith.
Whatever the cause, the shipment was revealed. What
was even more worrying was that Libya showed the Americans and British
a design for a nuclear warhead, which is believed to have originated
with Dr Khan as well. Mr Bush said the Khan network even sold raw
uranium at one stage, though to whom is not clear.
Iran's admission
At the same time, Iran was having to admit
that it, too, had acquired expertise from abroad. The Iran operation
pre-dated the one with Libya and was less sophisticated because it
seems that Dr Khan simply gave the Iranians surplus equipment. He
had over-ordered some parts for his own needs, so he had something
to sell. He had also developed new centrifuges which meant that the
old ones could go on the market. One
of them, which ended up in Iran, was apparently contaminated with
enriched uranium. This was found by the United Nations nuclear agency,
the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Iran was forced to
admit either that it had processed the fuel itself or got it by accident.
It chose the latter explanation, but that opened up the whole question
of where it came from.
" Looking back, it was amazing that Dr Khan managed
to carry on for so long "
Iran simply said it got the parts through a third party. But technical
analysis has detected the hand of Dr Khan in the designs. Looking
back, it was amazing that Dr Khan managed to carry on for so long.
A former British envoy in Pakistan has said that he did challenge
the Pakistani authorities about Dr Khan but was assured that all was
in order. The unravelling of his network will partly make up for the
previous intelligence failure but the lapse is highly worrying for
western governments. That is why President Bush has proposed the new
measures.
Closing the loophole
In particular they would close a loophole which
allowed Dr Khan to operate internationally. Under the nuclear Non-Proliferation
Treaty, which came into effect in 1970, countries without nuclear
weapons are allowed to develop nuclear power and, crucially, are allowed
to make their own fuel. But enriching uranium beyond power station
grade to weapons grade is no great technological feat and as long
as you keep your activities a secret, you can get away with it. The
United States now wants to confine fuel enrichment to those countries
which already have the capacity to do it. In that way, everyone else
would buy their fuel from recognised sources and there would be no
other fuel enrichment going on. It would not necessarily stop another
Dr Khan but it would make such an undertaking much more difficult.